Bias × SAT Matrix

Query: Which SAT controls which cognitive bias?

Quick-reference cross-index. For detail on any entry, follow the wikilinks to the individual bias or SAT pages.


Matrix: SATs → Biases Controlled


Inverse Matrix: Biases → SATs That Counter Them

BiasSATs That Counter ItCoverage
Anchoring BiasACH · Key Assumptions Check · What If? · Brainstorming · Alt FuturesStrong — 5 techniques
Availability HeuristicACH · High-Impact/Low-Prob · Alt Futures · Indicators · Quality of Info · Outside-In · Red Team · BrainstormingStrong — 8 techniques
Confirmation BiasACH · Devil’s Advocacy · Key Assumptions Check · Team A/B · Quality of Info · What If?Strong — 6 techniques
GroupthinkDevil’s Advocacy · Team A/B · Brainstorming · Red Team · ACHStrong — 5 techniques
Motivated ReasoningACH · Devil’s Advocacy · Key Assumptions Check · Team A/BModerate — 4 techniques
Overconfidence BiasKey Assumptions Check · Quality of Info · High-Impact/Low-Prob · ACH · What If? · Alt Futures · IndicatorsStrong — 7 techniques
Mirror ImagingRed Team · Outside-In Thinking · Alt Futures · Devil’s AdvocacyModerate — 4 techniques
Framing EffectOutside-In Thinking · Brainstorming · Alt Futures · Key Assumptions Check · Red TeamModerate — 5 techniques
Hindsight BiasWhat If? · Alt Futures · Indicators/Signposts · Key Assumptions CheckModerate — 4 techniques
Status Quo BiasWhat If? · Alt Futures · Devil’s Advocacy · Key Assumptions Check · High-Impact/Low-Prob · IndicatorsStrong — 6 techniques
Mind-SetAll SATs broadly; Key Assumptions Check most directlyComprehensive

Coverage Gaps

Biases with thinner SAT coverage (fewer than 4 techniques):

BiasCoverageNotes
Mirror Imaging4 techniquesRed Team is the primary; others are indirect. No dedicated diagnostic technique equivalent to ACH for adversary modeling.
Hindsight Bias4 techniquesWhat If? is the primary; other techniques provide partial coverage.

Most Versatile SATs (By Bias Coverage)

RankSATBiases Addressed
1Key Assumptions Check5 biases (anchoring, confirmation, motivated reasoning, overconfidence, status quo)
2Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH)5 biases (confirmation, anchoring, availability, motivated reasoning, groupthink)
3Alternative Futures Analysis5 biases (status quo, availability, anchoring, overconfidence, hindsight)
4Devil’s Advocacy5 biases (confirmation, groupthink, motivated reasoning, status quo, mind-set)
5What If? Analysis4 biases (hindsight, status quo, overconfidence, confirmation)

Implication for LLM agent design: If you can only add one SAT-inspired pattern to an LLM agent, Key Assumptions Check and ACH have the broadest bias coverage. If you are building a multi-agent system and can only add one structural intervention, Devil’s Advocacy (adversarial review gate) addresses the biases most likely to cause compounding errors across agent turns.


LLM-Specific Bias Coverage

Cross-reference to SATs for LLM Agents for implementation patterns:

LLM Failure ModeAnalogous BiasBest SAT Adaptation
SycophancyConfirmation Bias + GroupthinkDevil’s Advocacy (adversarial review gate)
Hallucination with confidenceOverconfidence BiasKey Assumptions Check (premise audit) + Quality of Info Check
Prompt anchoringAnchoring BiasACH multi-hypothesis prompting; separate generation from evaluation
Premature closureAnchoring Bias + Status Quo BiasACH; What If? pre-mortem
Persona captureMirror ImagingRed Team (explicit adversarial persona prompt)
Multi-agent echo chambersGroupthinkTeam A/B architecture (different models/prompts); independent parallel analysis
Chain-of-thought confirmationMotivated ReasoningACH disconfirmation prompting; premise audit at each step
Context recency weightingAvailability HeuristicIndicators list (prospectively defined criteria resist recency drift)

See Also

Structured Analytic Techniques | Cognitive Bias | SATs for LLM Agents