Bias × SAT Matrix
Query: Which SAT controls which cognitive bias?
Quick-reference cross-index. For detail on any entry, follow the wikilinks to the individual bias or SAT pages.
Matrix: SATs → Biases Controlled
Inverse Matrix: Biases → SATs That Counter Them
| Bias | SATs That Counter It | Coverage |
|---|---|---|
| Anchoring Bias | ACH · Key Assumptions Check · What If? · Brainstorming · Alt Futures | Strong — 5 techniques |
| Availability Heuristic | ACH · High-Impact/Low-Prob · Alt Futures · Indicators · Quality of Info · Outside-In · Red Team · Brainstorming | Strong — 8 techniques |
| Confirmation Bias | ACH · Devil’s Advocacy · Key Assumptions Check · Team A/B · Quality of Info · What If? | Strong — 6 techniques |
| Groupthink | Devil’s Advocacy · Team A/B · Brainstorming · Red Team · ACH | Strong — 5 techniques |
| Motivated Reasoning | ACH · Devil’s Advocacy · Key Assumptions Check · Team A/B | Moderate — 4 techniques |
| Overconfidence Bias | Key Assumptions Check · Quality of Info · High-Impact/Low-Prob · ACH · What If? · Alt Futures · Indicators | Strong — 7 techniques |
| Mirror Imaging | Red Team · Outside-In Thinking · Alt Futures · Devil’s Advocacy | Moderate — 4 techniques |
| Framing Effect | Outside-In Thinking · Brainstorming · Alt Futures · Key Assumptions Check · Red Team | Moderate — 5 techniques |
| Hindsight Bias | What If? · Alt Futures · Indicators/Signposts · Key Assumptions Check | Moderate — 4 techniques |
| Status Quo Bias | What If? · Alt Futures · Devil’s Advocacy · Key Assumptions Check · High-Impact/Low-Prob · Indicators | Strong — 6 techniques |
| Mind-Set | All SATs broadly; Key Assumptions Check most directly | Comprehensive |
Coverage Gaps
Biases with thinner SAT coverage (fewer than 4 techniques):
| Bias | Coverage | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Mirror Imaging | 4 techniques | Red Team is the primary; others are indirect. No dedicated diagnostic technique equivalent to ACH for adversary modeling. |
| Hindsight Bias | 4 techniques | What If? is the primary; other techniques provide partial coverage. |
Most Versatile SATs (By Bias Coverage)
| Rank | SAT | Biases Addressed |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Key Assumptions Check | 5 biases (anchoring, confirmation, motivated reasoning, overconfidence, status quo) |
| 2 | Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) | 5 biases (confirmation, anchoring, availability, motivated reasoning, groupthink) |
| 3 | Alternative Futures Analysis | 5 biases (status quo, availability, anchoring, overconfidence, hindsight) |
| 4 | Devil’s Advocacy | 5 biases (confirmation, groupthink, motivated reasoning, status quo, mind-set) |
| 5 | What If? Analysis | 4 biases (hindsight, status quo, overconfidence, confirmation) |
Implication for LLM agent design: If you can only add one SAT-inspired pattern to an LLM agent, Key Assumptions Check and ACH have the broadest bias coverage. If you are building a multi-agent system and can only add one structural intervention, Devil’s Advocacy (adversarial review gate) addresses the biases most likely to cause compounding errors across agent turns.
LLM-Specific Bias Coverage
Cross-reference to SATs for LLM Agents for implementation patterns:
| LLM Failure Mode | Analogous Bias | Best SAT Adaptation |
|---|---|---|
| Sycophancy | Confirmation Bias + Groupthink | Devil’s Advocacy (adversarial review gate) |
| Hallucination with confidence | Overconfidence Bias | Key Assumptions Check (premise audit) + Quality of Info Check |
| Prompt anchoring | Anchoring Bias | ACH multi-hypothesis prompting; separate generation from evaluation |
| Premature closure | Anchoring Bias + Status Quo Bias | ACH; What If? pre-mortem |
| Persona capture | Mirror Imaging | Red Team (explicit adversarial persona prompt) |
| Multi-agent echo chambers | Groupthink | Team A/B architecture (different models/prompts); independent parallel analysis |
| Chain-of-thought confirmation | Motivated Reasoning | ACH disconfirmation prompting; premise audit at each step |
| Context recency weighting | Availability Heuristic | Indicators list (prospectively defined criteria resist recency drift) |
See Also
Structured Analytic Techniques | Cognitive Bias | SATs for LLM Agents